US likely to fall into recession under Trump, top economist warns Economics The US is likely to fall into recession during Donald Trump’s second term if he makes good on his campaign promises, a leading economist has predicted. Paul Mortimer-Lee, a research fellow at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), said growth in the world’s largest economy could slump if the president-elect follows through [...]
US inflation comes in above expectations following hot jobs report Economics US inflation came in slightly above expectations in September, bolstering the case for a slower pace of rate cuts over the coming months. Figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the headline rate of inflation fell to 2.4 per cent in September, down from 2.5 per cent last month but slightly ahead of [...]
Interest rates heading lower after historic week for central banks Economics For many central bankers, concerns about sluggish growth and the health of the labour market are now as prominent - if not more so - than fears about inflation, paving the way for an extended period of rate cuts.
Fed lowers interest rates by 50 basis points in first cut since 2020 September 18, 2024 Today's rate decision was the most uncertain in years, with investors torn in the run-up to the decision about whether the Fed would cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points.
US retail sales rise ahead of Fed’s interest rate decision September 17, 2024 July's figures were also revised up to show a 1.1 per cent gain having previously been estimated at 1.0 per cent increase.
US inflation falls to lowest level since February 2021 as Fed prepares to cut interest rates September 11, 2024 US inflation fell to its lowest level since February 2021 in August, new figures show, but core prices rose faster than anticipated. Figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that inflation fell to 2.5 per cent in August, down from 2.9 per cent the month before and in line with expectations. Prices increased 0.2 per [...]
Interest rates are coming down – but how low will they go? August 27, 2024 There will be multiple debates over the next few months about how fast and how far interest rates should be cut. But how low will they go? Chris Dorrell asks
Jackson Hole highlights: Powell’s cutting rates, Bailey’s lifting weights August 26, 2024 Central bankers from all over the world descended on the small Wyoming town of Jackson Hole last week for a session of ruminating, speculating and pontificating. Here are the four main takeaways from the annual central banking shindig.
Federal Reserve: September rate cut ‘confirmed’ after latest releases August 22, 2024 A September rate cut looks nailed on after minutes from the US Federal Reserve’s last meeting, released last night, showed many rate-setters had considered a cut in July. Several members at the Fed’s last meeting thought there was a “plausible case” for cutting rates by 25 basis points given the progress on inflation and increases [...]
Fed holds interest rates for eighth straight but signals cuts are coming July 31, 2024 The Fed voted to leave interest rates on hold for the eighth consecutive meeting and did not give any clear sign that rate cuts were on the way.